Will Russia Invade Kazakhstan?

There are several reasons that they might, and it’s making Kazakhstan nervous.

Niall Leah
8 min readAug 29, 2022
Lubos Chlubny (Shutterstock Standard usage rights)

Kazakhstan could be in danger. This is nothing new, fear of a Russian attempt to recapture its territory has been a tangible fear for the country since it became independent in 1992.

Why would they be a target?

Sharing the second largest land border in the world with Russia, Kazakhstan is terrifyingly close to conflict occurring right next door. There are several reasons Russia could invade them.

Reason one — To Restore the Russian world.

Kazakhstan’s territory falls into what was formally the Soviet Union. Kazakhstan is a land rich in resources such as uranium and oil, making the land extremely valuable, but it’s not just material resources that Russia wants.

For Putin and many Russian elites, this is an ideological matter.

Putin and those who share his ideology don’t see the world the same way as the Western world does. The doctrine they hold is called Neo-Eurasanism. It envisions Russia not just as a country or state but as the center of its civilization. It sees Russia as the center of a continental society directly opposed to the US and Europe’s ocean states…

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Niall Leah
Niall Leah

Written by Niall Leah

An ex-pat from the UK living in Chengdu, China. I satisfy my endless curiosity about the incredible journey of humanity by reading, traveling, and writing.

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